NFL Week 15 Predictions

MIKE

Chargers vs. Broncos (-10.5)

Broncos 34-27 (Chargers beat spread)

If it weren’t for QB Peyton Manning’s outstanding, potentially record-breaking season, we’d be talking about QB Philip Rivers as a possible MVP. Rivers has had an outstanding season, and has kept San Diego in the wild-card hunt coming into a crucial Week 15 matchup. This one figures to be a shootout between two high-octane offenses who flexed their muscles a week ago. Both star QB’s will have big performances and will feast on rather suspect pass defenses. Denver seems destined to capture the AFC’s top seed, especially with the injury to Patriots’ TE Rob Gronkowski. They will keep that going tonight, but because the Chargers have a lot to play for, will not cover the spread.

Redskins vs. Falcons (-7)

Redskins 28-21 (Redskins beat spread)

I’d be skeptical of any 3-10 football team that is a touchdown favorite, even if it is against a hapless Washington group. I actually see the benching of QB Robert Griffin III benefiting the ‘Skins for this particular week. The focus can finally turn from coddling RGIII to trying to go out and win a football game. I haven’t seen much indication that Atlanta will be able to cover this spread, let alone win the game outright. Take Washington in this one to beat the spread and look for QB Kirk Cousins to have a nice debut against the Falcons 26^th ranked defense.

49ers (-6) vs. Buccaneers

49ers 21-10 (49ers cover spread)

Give Coach Schiano and the Bucs credit for not packing it in this season and winning four out of five to earn some respectability throughout the league. I would be shocked if Tampa Bay decided to fire Schiano given this resurgence, despite it still being a disappointing season. All that being said, the 49ers showed us why they are an elite team last week in defeating the NFC-leading and division rival Seahawks. They currently have a tight one-game lead over Arizona for the final playoff spot in the conference, with a Week 17 matchup with the two rivals looming large. Even though Tampa has showed signs of life as of late, I would stick with San Fran covering the 6-point spread on the road. They are a warm weather team traveling to a warm climate where they still have everything to play for. The Bucs have a good defense (12^th in NFL), so don’t expect the, at times inept, 49ers offense to roll over them, but take the points.

Seahawks (-7) vs. Giants

Seahawks 23-20 (Giants beat spread)

Seattle is still comfortably in control of the top seed in the NFC (2-game lead in effect over New Orleans), and the Giants were embarrassed last week in being eliminated from playoff contention. What does this all add up to? A close game at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, where the fact that the Giants have nothing to play for besides pride and job security, will have them looking loose and relaxed. Seattle’s top ranked defense will be tough for QB Eli Manning, who is having his worst professional season of his career, to crack along with RB Andre Brown. RB Marshawn Lynch is an absolute beast, but will find it tough to operate against a Giant defense that has only surrendered two one-hundred yard rushers all season. The presumed cold weather in New Jersey will make it interesting to see which offense can get off the blocks quicker. Still, the Seahawks, who are much less effective on the road, will find a way to win this one but take the Giants to beat the spread.

Bears (-1.5) vs. Browns

Bears 27-23 (Bears cover spread)

Coach Tressman made the decision to start QB Jay Cutler this Sunday against the Browns. Cutler says he’s feeling good and is ready to go after getting medical clearance Monday night. The Browns secondary is formidable, with the likes of CB Joe Haden, but the Bears receivers looked unstoppable against Dallas, albeit the NFL’s worst defense. They present tremendous matchup problems with opposing secondaries because of their size, particularly with WR’s Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey and TE Martellus Bennett. QB Jason Campbell is a nice backup in the league, but should not be an NFL starter anymore. He will do his best to cause the upset here against a shaky Bears’ defense, but will ultimately fall short in a generous spread for betters.

Texans vs. Colts (-6)

Colts 31-20 (Colts cover spread)

Houston cut bait with Coach Kubiak after a 2-11 campaign thus far in 2013, despite winning back-to-back AFC South titles the past two seasons. But, as Mike Shanahan might soon find out, the NFL is a ‘what have you done for me lately league’, and Kubiak hadn’t done much of anything. The Colts continued to struggle, despite QB Andrew Luck’s huge statistical day, last week at Cincy, which put them behind the 8-ball for the 3^rd seed in the AFC. The absence of WR Reggie Wayne has hurt not only on the field, but in terms of constant team leadership and reinforcement. Indy is looking more and more like a first round exit, especially if they happen to draw the 10-3 Kansas City Chiefs in the wild-card round. But, for this week, all will be well for owner Jim Irsay as his team will cover the spread and beat up on a weak Texans team.

Bills (-1) vs. Jaguars

Jaguars 20-17 (Jaguars beat spread)

The Jags keep it rolling this week in a winnable game at home vs. Buffalo. They, like the Bucs, have been impressive of late winning four out of five games. RB Maurice Jones-Drew finally had a breakout performance in last week’s win over Houston (14 carries, 103 yards), and look for him to back it up this week against the 26^th ranked Bills rush defense. QB EJ Manuel, along with the majority of the Bills team, has struggled of late, and find themselves in the cellar in the AFC East once again. I’ll take Jacksonville to make it five out of six at home, and beat the spread, this Sunday.

Patriots (-1) vs. Dolphins

Patriots 24-23 (Patriots cover spread)

The Pats can’t keep squeaking out these games against inferior opponents, right? Not without TE Rob Gronkowski? Wrong. While it hasn’t been pretty most of the time this season, New England still resides at a healthy 10-3 and 2^nd in the AFC. With some help, and if they keep finding ways to win, they could find themselves with home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Hard to believe for a team that trailed the entire game at home vs. Cleveland before winning by a point and having to overcome a double-digit deficit the week before at 2-11 Houston. Miami has a ton play for this week, at 7-6 they are tied with Baltimore for the final playoff spot in the conference. They do not control their own destiny, but any slip up by the defending champs and the ‘Fins could be the first team to capitalize. QB’s Tom Brady and Ryan Tannehill will duke it out in a highly-contested affair, but I like the Pats experience and superior coaching to come through with a one-point spread.

Eagles (-6) vs. Vikings

Eagles 27-19 (Eagles cover spread)

Let’s be realistic. The only thing that will keep this thing close is RB Adrian Peterson. The Eagles offense (particularly the running game last week which racked up over 300 yards) is in full-flight, and it does not appear the Vikes defense has what it takes to derail them. Philly will be very thankful to the Bears this week, because although they still don’t control their own destiny for the division crown, a win this week combined with another Dallas loss will really shift the balance of power in their favor. QB Adrian Peterson will put in his usual Sunday’s work and surpass 100 yards and cross the plane once, but QB Nick Foles will have his way with the 31^st ranked Vikings defense. Minnesota suffered a tough loss last week and has not laid down for anybody, so don’t expect a blowout, but the Eagles will find a way to cover and get this one done on the road.

Jets vs. Panthers (-11.5)

Panthers 24-17 (Jets beat spread)

Carolina’s seven-game winning streak came to a screeching halt last week at the Saints. Their defense was overwhelmed and the Saint defense really got after QB Cam Newton. While they are not in control of the division, they are still firmly in control of a wild-card spot. If the Panthers can remain on course the final three games and get back to playing their physical style of football, they will be headed to the postseason. Meanwhile, the Jets are sitting at an unimpressive 6-7, but remain only one-game behind the AFC’s sixth seed. Therefore, I see this one being a tight game between two of the league’s top defensive units. The Jets have been a Jekyll and Hyde team this season, so some may be inclined to take Carolina with the spread here, but I think the Jets will come out ready to compete this week. It just won’t be enough against a better team on the road, and QB Geno Smith will contribute with a crucial 2^nd half turnover.

Chiefs (-5.5) vs. Raiders

Chiefs 34-17 (Chiefs cover spread)

Kansas City got back on track last week with a 35-point rout of the Redskins. The Raiders looked flat in giving up 37 points to the Jets. Kansas City is in prime position for a wild-card spot, and they can clinch a playoff berth with a win over their division rivals on Sunday. QB Matt McGloin has shown promise with the Raiders, who may have an offseason quarterback competition on their hands. RB Jamaal Charles continues to be an under-the-radar elite rusher in the NFL, compiling 1,161 yards and 10 touchdowns through thirteen games. The Raiders won’t want any part of him come Sunday, but they can’t run away. Or maybe they can? Take the Chiefs.

Cardinals (-3) vs. Titans

Cardinals 31-24 (Cardinals cover spread)

Arizona trails the 49ers by one-game in the NFC playoff picture for the second wild-card spot. At 8-5, the Cards have overachieved this season and look to stamp their place in the postseason in the tough NFC West. They will have to hold serve the next two weeks and set up a potential winner-take-all matchup with the 49ers in Week 17. Tennessee got torched by Denver and QB Peyton Manning last week, and will have their hands full again with another very capable offense. At 5-8, they have razor thin playoff hopes, and will likely need to win-out and get a ton of help to squeak into the postseason. Arizona has much more to play for at this junction, and despite QB Carson Palmer’s high interception count, he has thrown for 20 touchdowns and 3,458 yards. Palmer and the underrated Cardinal defense will lead Arizona to a second-straight win and keep them alive in the playoff hunt.

Saints (-6.5) vs. Rams

Saints 35-22 (Saints cover spread)

The Saints made a statement to their division rivals and the rest of the NFC last week. They are one of the toughest home teams to face in the NFL, but the questions remain on the road. A win here won’t do much to shake that belief, but New Orleans isn’t worried about outside noise. QB Drew Brees will be too much to handle for the 19^th ranked Ram defense, and will continue his impressive season behind center. QB Kellen Clemens has done a decent job filling QB Sam Bradford’s void, but will not ‘wow’ anyone at the quarterback position. Look for RB’s Mark Ingram and Darren Sproles to take some of the pressure off Brees in a game that will be decided by halftime.

Packers vs. Cowboys (-7)

Cowboys 33-23 (Cowboys cover spread)

QB Aaron Rodgers has still not been medically cleared to play on Sunday as of today. This is a deciding factor in taking the spread or not in this game, as Rodgers is one of the best in the business. For now, I would take the Cowboys to cover because, despite their porous defense, I believe in QB Tony Romo’s abilities much more than QB Matt Flynn’s. Dallas’ defense will be able to manage Flynn and the offense, but if Rodgers were to be cleared to go I would be fearful of picking Dallas. Romo will have his way with the Green Bay defense at home, and RB DeMarco Murray could be in for another big game. If Rodgers remains inactive, take the ‘Boys with the spread, but if he gets clearance, take the Pack to beat the spread.

Bengals (-3) vs. Steelers

Bengals 27-24 (Bengals cover spread)

Cincinatti is in firm control of the AFC’s 3^rd seed, while Pittsburgh was barely eliminated from playoff contention last week because WR Antonio Brown stepped out of bounds in a potential last-second game-winning play. This figures to be a tight, divisional affair in Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football, as AFC North battles always seem to be. Cincy can put themselves in great position to clinch no worse than the third seed if they win and the Colts lose; therefore, they will come out with intensity from the first snap. QB Ben Roethlisberger is enjoying another quality season as a pro, throwing for 24 touchdowns to 10 interceptions along with 3,724 yards. He will find it tough against the 8^th ranked Cincinatti defense, but will manage to put up solid numbers. In the end, the team that needs the game more will come away with the victory and cover.

Ravens vs. Lions (-6)

Lions 34-30 (Ravens beat spread)

Detroit got absolutely manhandled by the Philadelphia offense, specifically the running game, in the blizzard at the Linc last week. The Lions still own the lead in the NFC North by virtue of tiebreakers, but Chicago and Green Bay are right on their heels. They are a completely different animal to deal with at Ford Field, and the Ravens will soon discover that. QB Matt Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson are arguably the most dynamic, threatening QB-WR tandem in the NFL. Stafford also has other weapons at his disposal with the likes of TE Brandon Pettigrew, WR Nate Burleson and RB Reggie Bush. Baltimore will need to be ready to come out and play in tough environment with the Miami Dolphins nipping at their heels in the AFC playoff race. Expect a nice day from QB Joe Flacco and co. in order to keep this one close. The Lions come out on top in the final score, but do not cover.

ADAM

Chargers vs Broncos (-10.5)

34-24 Broncos

This one is going to be a shootout for sure. Both teams are coming off impressive offensive showings. The Broncos will be without Wes Welker who is sidelined with a concussion but Peyton has enough options to get the win at home and cover the spread.

Bills (-1) vs Jaguars

21-17 Jaguars

It’s amazing how different the Jaguars look now compared to the beginning of the season. Currently riding a 3 game winning streak the Jaguars are feeling good about themselves coming into this matchup against the Bills. The Jaguars will get an improbable 4^th win in a row at home.

Bears vs Browns (-1)

27-24 Bears

This matchup showcases two of the hottest receivers in the league right now, Josh Gordon and Alshon Jeffrey. The Browns lost a game they really should’ve won last week to New England and the Bears pummeled the Cowboys on Monday night. I’m going to give the edge to Chicago in this one. I think their offense, which scored on every possession against Dallas, will be too much for Cleveland.

Texans vs Colts (-6)

23-14 Colts

The Texans have lost 11 in a row right now and just fired their head coach. I can’t see a Wade Phillips lead Texans team taking down the Colts even with how bad the Colts have looked. Colts get the win here.

Patriots (-2.5) vs Dolphins

23-20 Patriots

The Pats seem to be losing a big time player every week. This week, and for the rest of the season, they will be without Gronk. There is something about this Patriots team though that makes me think that as long as Tom Brady is playing, it doesn’t matter who is out there with him, they will win. Pats hold on for a slim win

Eagles (-6) vs Vikings

35-20 Eagles

The Eagles are unstoppable at this moment. I don’t see them slowing down at all especially when they will playing indoors this week and snow will not be a factor. Foles and the Eagles keep rolling and take care of the Vikings.

Seahawks (-7.5) vs Giants

31-21 Seahawks

The Seahawks didn’t play their best last week in San Francisco and will be sure to bounce back against the Giants on Sunday. Seattle’s defense will be all over the G-Men and Russell Wilson will return to his MVP caliber form.

49ers (-6) vs Buccaneers

17-13 49ers

This one is going to be close. The Buccaneers continue to be the best bad team in the NFL and their defense will be able to keep this one close. In the end, the 49ers defensive pressure will get the best of Mike Glennon.

Redskins vs Falcons (-7)

           

23 – 10 Falcons

The Falcons are starting to turn things around while the Redskins have hit rock bottom. RGIII has been benched for Kirk Cousins and Mike Shanahan seems to have one foot out the door. Falcons will get the win at home.

Jets vs Panthers (-11.5)

28-14 Panthers

Geno against the Panthers defense doesn’t bode well for my Jets. Their defense will force Geno into making some mistakes and Cam Newton will bounce back after a tough showing last week. Panthers cover the spread.

Chiefs (-6) vs Raiders

23 – 13 Chiefs

The Chiefs need to beat the Raiders to clinch a playoff spot. That should be enough motivation for Andy Reid and his boys to get the job done on Sunday. Chiefs win and cover the spread.

Packers vs Cowboys (-7)

24 - 17 Cowboys

I have to go with the Cowboys since it looks like Aaron Rodgers will be sitting this one out. Dallas needs a win in a big way after last weeks beating in Chicago. Their passing game will be too much for the Packers D to handle. Romo leads the Cowboys to victory.

Saints (-6) vs Rams

31-13 Saints

This one is simple. Saints are great and the Rams are terrible. Drew Brees continues his great play and has an easy day against the Rams defense. Saints win and cover the spread.

Cardinals (-3) vs Titans

24 – 17 Cardinals

The Cardinals need this win in a big way. The Titans offense will have limited success against the Cardinals defense who will be the deciding factor in this matchup.

Bengals (-3) vs Steelers

20 – 13 Bengals

This one will be a classic AFC North matchup except this time the Steelers aren’t playing for a playoff spot, the Bengals are. The Bengals offense exploded last Sunday and Andy Dalton will do enough to help lead the Bengals to a big victory.

Ravens vs Lions (-6)

31 – 21 Lions

The Lions got embarrassed last weekend in Philadelphia. They will be back at home on Monday night and will play like the Lions team we know them to be. The Ravens will put up a fight with playoff implications on the line in this one but the Lions offense will be the deciding factor.

NFL Week 12 Predictions

MIKE

Saints (-9.5) vs. Falcons

Saints 31-17 (Saints cover spread)

The Saints managed to get by a tough 49ers group at home on a K Garrett Hartley last-second field-goal. QB Drew Brees had a decent day (for him) against a stout San Francisco defense, and got a little help from the refs on the LB Ahmad Brooks hit. The Falcons got handled by the lowly Bucs and fell into the cellar in the NFC South. Hard to imagine for a team that was the number one seed in the NFC last season, and has been a regular in the playoffs the last handful of years. A defense that gives up 41 points to the 2-8 Bucs should not be expected to hold their own against New Orleans.

Buccaneers vs. Lions (-8.5)

Lions 34-24 (Lions cover spread)

The Bucs are rebounding nicely the last two weeks, picking up wins against Miami and Atlanta, after that dreadful 0-8 start. QB Mike Glennon completed 87% of his passes last week and threw for a couple of scores. WR Vincent Jackson has been a big-time threat as of late, and will give the Lions secondary fits on Sunday. The Lions suffered a setback at Pittsburgh last week in a shootout loss, and will need to rebound quickly with the Bears at 6-4 as well. Their offense is too tough to handle at home for a team like Tampa Bay, and even though their defense can be suspect, expect them to get this win and move to 7-4.

Jaguars vs. Texans (-10)

Texans 27-14 (Texans cover spread)

You know it’s bad when you’re a 10-point underdog against a 2-8 team in Houston. That is the current situation the abysmal Jaguars find themselves in this week. The Jags only lost by 13 to the Cardinals last week, and were actually up by a touchdown after the first quarter. They failed to score a point the rest of the game. Houston has been one of the league’s major disappointments this season, despite the injuries to QB Matt Schaub and RB Arian Foster. Having said that, their defense is ranked 1^st in the NFL, only surrendering 286.1 YPG. Facing a 1-9 team that hasn’t had much of an offensive showing thus far should be the recipe for the Texans to get back in the ‘W’ column.

Vikings vs. Packers (-5)

Packers 23-20 (Vikings beat spread)

The loss of QB Aaron Rodgers has made the Pack into an average team at best. If RB Eddie Lacy isn’t able to get going on the ground, it puts way too much pressure on fill-in QB Scott Tolzien who does not have much NFL quarterback experience. That was evidenced by the 3 interceptions he tossed last week against the Giants, after Lacy was only able to rack up 27 yards rushing. The Vikings are not a good football team, but the vulnerability of Green Bay leads me to believe this one will remain close with the Cheeseheads finding a way in the end.

Chargers vs. Chiefs (-5.5)

Chiefs 24-20 (Chargers beat spread)

Kansas City’s unbeaten streak was halted by the Broncos last week in a game where the Chiefs offense never really got going. Denver’s defense played better than it had in previous games, and RB Jamaal Charles never really made an impression. The Chargers are in dire-straights and desperately need a win in order to keep pace in the wild-card standings. QB Philip Rivers will do his best to befuddle a tough Kansas City defense who was exposed for the first time all season last week at Denver. It will ultimately fall short, as Kansas City is one of the toughest places in the league to go get a win against a top-tier football team.

Panthers (-4.5) vs. Dolphins

Panthers 20-13 (Panthers cover spread)

Miami has managed to stay in the thick of things in the AFC wild card hunt, and will need a win this Sunday in order to further their playoff progress. The Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the league right now behind the play of QB Cam Newton and their 2^nd ranked defense. Miami hasn’t exactly been primarily focused on football as of late, but need to turn that focus on in order to prevail over a contender in Carolina. The Panthers will ride another quality performance from their defense and get an efficient day from Newton and RB DeAngelo Williams in order to keep pace with the Saints in the NFC South.

Steelers vs. Browns (-1)

Steelers 16-12 (Steelers beat spread)

Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger put together an outstanding performance last week to lead his group to a big home win against Detroit. Roethlisberger has thrown for an impressive 971 yards, 9 TD’s and 3 INT’s in the past three games to keep the Steelers alive in both the division and wild card race. Cleveland is also sitting at 4-6 very much in the conversation in the playoff hunt. Their 5^th ranked defense has carried them throughout much of the year with instability at the quarterback position. Expect a low-scoring, typical AFC North defensive struggle where the more-experienced Steelers will come out on top and beat the spread.

Bears vs. Rams (-1)

Bears 28-24 (Bears beat spread)

The Bears are tied atop the NFC North with the Lions at 6-4, while the Rams are fighting to keep their season alive at 4-6. Chicago is a soft 6-4, and with the impressive play of backup QB Josh McCown, will look to move to an even softer 7-4 this Sunday. The Rams do not possess the passing attack to truly worry the Bears, even though they are an unimpressively 24^th ranked bunch. RB Zac Stacy has been solid in replacing RB Stephen Jackson, but the loss of QB Sam Bradford will be too much for this team to overcome. Chicago will utilize its outside weapons in WR’s Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey to create mismatches downfield in order to scrape by St. Louis on the road.

Jets vs. Ravens (-3.5)

Ravens 21-14 (Ravens cover spread)

The defending champs are in the muck of a three-way tie for second place in the AFC North, but do own a pivotal win against the Bengals two weeks ago. They suffered a setback in a delayed game at Chicago last week, and eventually lost in overtime. The Jets were embarrassed at Buffalo, losing by 23 to the Bills behind four QB Geno Smith turnovers. Gang Green demoted WR Stephen Hill from the starting lineup for lack of production in the passing game. RB Ray Rice is desperate for a breakout performance this season, as he only has rushed for a measly 420 yards thus far. He won’t shred the Jets defense, but will have a solid day including a rushing touchdown. QB Joe Flacco will have his hands full with the 8^th ranked Jets defense, but look for some key receptions from veteran TE Dallas Clark in critical situations to help the Ravens stay involved in the playoff picture this week.

Titans (-1) vs. Raiders

Raiders 26-24 (Raiders beat spread)

This is a big game for both teams looking to stay alive in the AFC wild card hunt. At 4-6, both clubs are looking to inch closer to the sixth-seed while picking up a head-to-head win over one of their competitors. QB Matt McGloin was instrumental in tossing 3 TD’s last week to lead the Raiders to a victory at Houston in his first career start. He’ll need to keep that level up against the 10^th ranked Titan defense. RB Chris Johnson has been better in the last few weeks for the Titans, but still has not returned to the form we saw from him 4-5 years ago. Without a true no. 1 receiver the Titans are going to need a heavy dose of Johnson to keep McGloin and the Raiders offense off the field. This one will come down to the wire as the Raiders will be able to hold on at home.

Colts vs. Cardinals (-2.5)

Colts 34-28 (Colts beat spread)

The Cardinals are firmly in contention for an NFC wild card berth at 6-4, and the Colts are in complete control of the NFC South at 7-3. This should be an entertaining matchup of two potential playoff teams in Glendale, and both offenses will get an opportunity to strut their stuff. WR T.Y. Hilton will have to outperform WR’s Michael Floyd and Larry Fitzgerald in order for the Colts to come away with a road win. Either team hasn’t been a huge threat on the ground, and the game will come down to which secondary can hold up better. I’ll also take QB Andrew Luck over QB Carson Palmer any day of the week, and Luck will be able to hold off Palmer and the Birds in the end to preserve the win.

Cowboys vs. Giants (-2.5)

Giants 33-26 (Giants cover spread)

Things are starting to get very interesting in the NFC East, with this pivotal game adding to the drama. The Giants have been taking care of business against lesser opponents with backup quarterbacks of late, but have looked very impressive on the defensive side of the ball while doing so. Dallas has had some extra time to prepare for their division rivals following a bye week, and will need to be at their top level in order to get by the G-Men and a raucous crowd at MetLife. QB Tony Romo has not come up strong in big games vs. the Giants in recent years, and, while this one isn’t to the degree of some of the others, it is still an important one in determining the outcome of the NFC East. QB Eli Manning will have a big game against a suspect Dallas secondary and New York’s defense will force a key turnover in the 4^th quarter to hold off the ‘Boys and make it five straight wins.

Broncos (-3) vs. Patriots

Broncos 37-27 (Broncos cover spread)

The Broncos made it known that they should not be overshadowed by the Chiefs or anyone else in the league last Sunday night. They will get another opportunity to do exactly that this week in Foxboro. Denver’s defense did a solid job in limiting the Chiefs’ offense last week, and QB Peyton Manning once again eclipsed 300 yards to lead the Broncos to a big win. The Patriots suffered a tough loss Monday night at Carolina, and felt as if they were robbed in the end when a pass-interference penalty flag was picked up on the last play of the game. The Pats still hold a two-game lead in the AFC East over the Jets and Dolphins, but the pressure will mount if they cannot escape this game with a win. Manning vs. Brady never disappoints, and this one will live up to the billing with exciting plays, big hits, and drama. I like Peyton’s team more than Tom’s this year, which will prove to be the difference as Denver moves to 10-1.

49ers (-6) vs. Redskins

49ers 22-16 (49ers cover spread)

This game would have been an intriguing matchup heading into the season, but with the Redskins all but eliminated from playoff contention, this is more about the need for the 49ers to get back on track than anything else. San Francisco is on the fringe of the playoff picture at 6-4, and need to treat each game as a playoff game from here on out. Last week’s loss at New Orleans was a tough pill to swallow, considering the late lead the 49ers squandered. Washington will come out and play hard, clinging to a flickering hope of staying alive in the NFC East. The matchup of QB Robert Griffin III vs. QB Colin Kaepernick will be an interesting dynamic, as neither quarterback has lived up to their rookie starting campaigns. Both teams will be desperate on Monday night, but the 49ers have more to play for at this stage. RB Frank Gore will outperform RB Alfred Morris and the 49ers defense will serve up a quality performance from start to finish to keep their nose in front in the wild card standings. 

ADAM

Saints (-10) vs Falcons

30-13 Saints

After last weeks loss to the Buccaneers I have a tough time seeing the Falcons winning another game this year. Saints continue to roll and come away with a big victory on Thursday Night Football.

Jets vs Ravens (-4)

21-17 Jets

The Jets and Geno Smith will continue their on again off again play and bounce back on Sunday against the Raven. The Jets defense will be all over Joe Flacco and wouldn’t it be great to see Ed Reed pick Flacco a few times. Jets win and beat the spread.

Steelers vs Browns (-1.5)

27-20 Steelers

Josh Gordon and Jason Campbell have been able to hook up for some big plays so far this season and they will continue to do the same this weekend. However, Ben Roethlisberger will continue to stay hot and will lead the Steelers to victory on the road.

Panthers (-4.5) vs Dolphins

27-14 Panthers

The Panthers made a statement on Monday night with their win over the Patriots. They are legit. The Panthers defense will have the Dolphins on their heels all day and will force a few turnovers. Panthers continue their hot streak and take care of the Dolphins in Miami.

Bears vs Rams (-1)

24-20 Bears

The Rams pulled off an amazing upset in week 10 against the Colts. They’ll put up a good fight but it won’t be enough. Josh McCown hasn’t thrown an interception yet this season as Jay Cutlers replacement and he will put up another strong performance leading the Rams to big road victory.

Buccaneers vs Lions (-8.5)

28-24 Lions

The Buccaneers have won two in a row and are feeling good about themselves. Mike Glennon and Vincent Jackson caused problems for the Falcons last week and if they are on the same page it could be a long day for Detroit. However, the Bucs will have trouble stopping the Lions pass attack as Calvin Johnson will lead the Lions to a narrow win.

Vikings vs Packers (-5)

23-20 Packers

This game doesn’t boast the greatest quarterbacks the NFL has to offer. I never thought I would say this but I see Scott Tolzein doing enough to lead the Packers past the Vikings at home this week.

Jaguars vs Texans (-10)

24-20 Texans

The Jaguars have been showing some life and have been looking a lot better than they were at the beginning of this year. Even though the Texans have their own issues, there’s just too much talent on this Houston team to lose to the Jaguars. Texans come away with a 4 point victory.

Chargers vs Chiefs (-5.5)

24-17 Chiefs

This is the perfect bounce back game for the Chiefs playing a division rival at home. The Chiefs defense and the home field advantage will be too much for San Diego to overcome. Kansas City bounces back from their first loss of the year.

Colts vs Cardinals (-1.5)

17-13 Colts

It might take another one of Andrew Luck’s inspirational speeches but the Colts will get past the Cardinals and their tough defense on the road. Look for Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton to connect multiple times Sunday.

Titans vs Raiders (-1)

21-17 Titans

With two backups under center in this matchup I’m going with the Titans here because of Chris Johnson. I won’t be watching this one but I expect both defenses to have a strong showing. Titans cover the spread.

Cowboys vs Giants (-2.5)

31-28 Cowboys

The NFC East has been almost impossible to predict so far this season. I feel like the Giants were 0-6 and then I blinked and they’re now 4-6. Even though they’ve won their past 4 I’m going with Dez Bryant and Tony Romo exploiting the Giants secondary and getting a big win in New Jersey.

Broncos (-3) vs Patriots

30-27 Broncos

This is the big game of the week. The Patriots coming off a controversial loss to the Panthers and the Broncos off a big win against the Chiefs. The Patriots are going to throw everything they have at Denver and this one will go down to the wire with Matt Prater hitting a late field goal to win.

49ers (-6) vs Redskins

27-20 49ers

RGIII will be able to keep this one close but in the end, the 49ers defense will too much for RGIII and the Redskins. The 49ers will bounce back from their last second loss to the Saints and the Redskins will have more questions to answer after this loss.

NFL Week 11 Predictions

MIKE

Colts (-3) vs. Titans

Colts 24-14 (Colts cover spread)

Indianapolis suffered a shocking 30-point home defeat at the hands of WR Tavon Austin and the Rams, while the Titans inexcusably lost at home to the Jags. The Colts are the better team out of the two, even without star WR Reggie Wayne. Indy will be able to lean on the QB Andrew Luck to WR T.Y. Hilton connection and get an efficient day from RB Trent Richardson in order to keep backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and RB Chris Johnson off the field.

Falcons (-2) vs. Buccaneers

Buccaneers 23-16 (Buccaneers beat spread)

Tampa Bay got their first win of the season Monday night against a distracted Dolphins group. QB Mike Glennon continues to impress behind center and the Bucs defense has played fairly well (14^th overall) in limiting opponents. Before the season started, most people would have said this game would be a blowout. Now, it’s a meaningless game in the top heavy NFC South. I’ll ride the momentum Tampa built on Monday night to get a second straight win at home against the hapless Falcons.

Jets vs. Bills (PICK ‘EM)

Jets 20-10 (Jets straight up)

The Jets come off their bye and square up with a Bills team complaining about the toughness of their schedule? Never heard that one before. The Jets have built a reputation for being a hard-nosed, physical football team, especially on defense, and will showcase that here against an inferior opponent. QB EJ Manuel is a dual-threat and their running game is effective with RB’s C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson, but the Jets defense ranks 8^th overall and will not be overwhelmed with the Bills offense. If QB Geno Smith can play a mistake-free four quarters, the Jets will come out of Buffalo with a nice division win to keep pace with the Patriots.

Lions (-2.5) vs. Steelers

Lions 27-24 (Lions cover spread)

This is a pivotal game for both teams, as the Lions want to remain in control of the NFC North and the Steelers need every win they can get to stay alive in the AFC North. Pittsburgh took care of business at home against Buffalo and will look to make it two in a row against a very tough opponent. We know about the lethal passing attack of the Lions, but the ground game will play a big role in getting this one on the road. QB Matt Stafford will make his plays in the passing game, but RB Reggie Bush will play his part as well. QB Ben Roethlisberger has gotten a little more help from his ground game in recent weeks, and will need it again this week in order to keep that dangerous Lions offense off the field. He won’t get it, as the 8^th ranked Detroit rush defense will make the Steelers offense one-dimensional and be a big factor in the Lions moving to 7-3.

Redskins vs. Eagles (-3.5)

Eagles 31-28 (Redskins beat spread)

16 TD’s and 0 INT’s. You would think I was reading Peyton Manning or Drew Brees’ stats. Those in fact belong to the amazing season QB Nick Foles has put together. Foles backed up his seven touchdown performance a couple of weeks ago by tossing another three last week in beating the Rodgers-less Packers. This is a big one in the NFC East, and the Eagles can really put the pressure on both Dallas and New York in their showdown in Week 12 with a win over Washington this week. These two teams both average over 400 yards per game and are not afraid to throw the deep ball. This has the makings of a shootout with Foles leading the home team to an important win in Philly.

Ravens vs. Bears (-3)

Ravens 22-17 (Ravens beat spread)

I’m not a big fan of the Chicago Bears with or without QB Jay Cutler. I just don’t think they are a very good football team. Chicago certainly has weapons on offense, WR Brandon Marshall and RB Matt Forte, and veterans on defense, LB Lance Briggs, but I don’t trust them in big games. Baltimore survived a Hail Mary overtime-forcer to get past division rival Cincinnati last week. At 4-5, they have not had a great season up to this point, but are still very much alive in the AFC North race. They only rank 29^th in the NFL in total offense, but improve on that at 15^th in total defense. The Ravens are still the champs, and they will continue to prove that the Bears are a bunch of chumps on Sunday.

Browns vs. Bengals (-5.5)

Bengals 29-24 (Browns beat spread)

Cincy very nearly pulled off the comeback last Sunday, but still find themselves leading the division by 1.5 games. Even though they’ve looked shaky the last two games, the Bengals are still the most talented team in this division. WR A.J. Green has already eclipsed the 1,000 yard receiving mark with six games to play. We know what Cincy can do in the passing game, but the Browns rank 5^th in overall defense. This is a unit that has carried Cleveland this year, and has to limit the Bengals in order to give QB Jason Campbell an opportunity to make progress with WR Josh Gordon and TE Jordan Cameron. I’ll stick with Cincy to win the game but won’t cover the spread.

Raiders vs. Texans (-7.5)

Texans 30-21 (Texans cover spread)

The Raiders couldn’t get out of their own way last Sunday in losing a sloppy game at the Giants. QB Terrelle Pryor has to regain his ability to run the ball, because he looked downright horrible through the air last week. Houston could have sneaked out their last two games, and instead we’d be talking about a 4-5 team with life as opposed to a 2-7 squad booking tee times. QB Case Keenum is a definite bright spot for a Texans team who had caught the turnover bug early in the season. How about the touchdown grabs from WR Andre Johnson last week? Scary good. He’ll bring down another two this week and lead Houston to a much needed victory.

Cardinals (-7.5) vs. Jaguars

Cardinals 35-20 (Cardinals cover spread)

This is a huge game for Arizona to take advantage of an opportunity to move to 6-4 in the competitive NFC. While the individual and team stats don’t blow you away from the Cards, they have put themselves in a nice position to snag a wild-card spot in the NFC. WR Larry Fitzgerald is not having a huge season, partly because QB Carson Palmer has not either. Arizona’s rush defense ranks 3^rd in the NFL, which is a troublesome category for the Jags, who need a big rushing performance from QB Maurice Jones-Drew to stand a chance. It would be nice for the Jags to string two in a row, but let’s be realistic and take the Cardinals.

Chargers (-2.5) vs. Dolphins

Chargers 27-17 (Chargers cover spread)

San Diego suffered a one-possession loss at home vs. Denver last week, which doesn’t look too bad on paper. They were down 28-6 and came back to make it respectable at a final score of 28-20. With both teams at 4-5 fighting for their wild-card lives, this game will go a long way in determining if either team can find a way into the postseason. San Diego’s offense ranks 7^th in the NFL compared to 30^th for the Dolphins. The Chargers definitely have more options on that side of the ball, along with a much better quarterback. I’ll go with the better overall team with less controversy swinging around them.

Vikings vs. Seahawks (-12.5)

Seahawks 28-10 (Seahawks cover spread)

Minnesota overcame a 13-point 3^rd quarter deficit to take down the visiting Washington Redskins last Thursday night to notch their 2^nd win of the season. Seattle will have their hands full trying to contain RB Adrian Peterson, who has amassed 786 yards and 9 TD’s so far this season. Their 3^rd ranked defense should be up to the task and they won’t have to worry about much else with the Vikings offense. It is unsure of WR Jerome Simpson will play for the Vikes after a DUI charge, which will tilt matters even more in Seattle’s favor. The ‘Hawks will be able to focus on AP and hold him in check in continuing to take advantage of a kind schedule the last few weeks.

49ers vs. Saints (-3.5)

Saints 24-17 (Saints cover spread)

The Saints embarrassed Dallas last Sunday night in a mightily convincing 49-17 home win. QB Drew Brees threw for 392 yards and 4 TD’s in the game and RB Mark Ingram looked impressive in his limited action. Don’t expect New Orleans to find as much room through the air against the 6^th ranked 49ers defense, who only surrender 17.2 points per game. QB Colin Kaepernick only threw for 46 yards last Sunday vs. Carolina, and will surely need to have a big game in order for the 49ers to keep pace with the high-octane Saints offense. This one will not feature the same point total as last week in New Orleans, but the Saints’ offense will be able to control the tempo of the game and their improved 9^th ranked defense will hold RB Frank Gore and the 49ers at bay to secure a win.

Packers vs. Giants (-5.5)

Giants 27-20 (Giants cover spread)

Don’t look now but with a win this week the New York Giants will set up a huge NFC East showdown (potentially for first place) with Dallas in Week 12. QB Eli Manning and the Giants offense had an up-and-down performance a week ago vs. Oakland, but the play of their 12^th ranked defense is currently carrying the team. Fill-in QB Scott Tolzien will have to step up for the Packers in a hostile environment against a defense playing with confidence. QB Eli Manning should be able to exploit the 21^st ranked Green Bay pass defense and RB Andre Brown will prove he can shoulder the load in the ground game once again. The home team makes it four in a row with a seven-point win over the Pack.

Chiefs vs. Broncos (-7.5)

Broncos 26-19 (Chiefs beat spread)

The one we’ve all been waiting for is finally here. This is by far the biggest game in the NFL so far this season, and will be a tightly contested divisional contest. The Chiefs and Broncos have different ways of winning, and it will be interesting to see if the contrasting styles will cause problems for the opposing sides. The Broncos rank 1^st in total offense and the Chiefs rank 10^th in total defense, so something’s gotta give. RB Jamaal Charles has put together an outstanding season on the ground and as a receiver (725 yards rushing, 389 yards receiving, 8 total TD’s), and QB Alex Smith has been an efficient game manager. QB Peyton Manning’s dream season continued last week as he tossed another 4 TD’s, but will face his sternest test yet against the Chiefs. The Broncos won’t be able to explode on offense vs. this defense, but the limitations of the Chiefs offense will be exposed. The home-field advantage will prove to be the difference in this AFC powerhouse showdown.

Patriots vs. Panthers (-1.5)

Panthers 20-16 (Panthers cover spread)

The Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winners of four straight. They’re riding high after the one-point road win at San Francisco, in which their 2^nd ranked defense controlled play for the majority of the afternoon. The Patriots will be up against it in Carolina with the Jets on their heels. QB Tom Brady has not had his usual dominant season, albeit efficient in leading the Pats to a 7-2 record. Some would expect Carolina to let down following that huge win last week, but I believe they are built to last an entire season. QB Cam Newton has become a team leader this season and is finally orchestrating a winning season in Carolina. This will be a low-scoring affair on Monday night that will have the Panthers move to 7-3 and closer to a playoff berth. 

ADAM

Colts (-3) vs Titans

24-13 Colts

The Colts are pissed off after the butt whipping they received from the St Louis Rams last week. Andrew Luck and the Colts offense will bounce back in a big way and beat a Jake Lockerless Titans team.

Jets vs Bills (-1)

17-13 Jets

The Jets defense will cause all sorts of problems for EJ Manuel in this AFC East matchup. If Geno Smith can play mistake free like he dead in week 9 against the Saints, the Jets will come away with this one and will be on a two game winning streak for the first time this year.

Ravens vs Bears (-3)

21-17 Ravens

Even though I like the way Josh McCown has been playing, the Bears defense is too shaky for me especially with the loss of Charles Tillman. This is by no means going to be an easy win for Baltimore but I see their defense doing enough to pull out the win in Chicago.

Browns vs Bengals (-5.5)

24-20 Bengals

Andy Dalton and the Bengals have been shaky over the past two weeks. However, I have a feeling that this week they will bounce back at home against the Browns. I see A.J. Green having a monster game that will guide the Bengals to a 4 point victory.

Lions (-2.5) vs Steelers

31-10 Lions

I think the Lions are being given way less points in the spread then they deserve. They have been on a roll of late and the Steelers have just been plain awful. I see Calvin Johnson burning the Steelers D for a few big plays on Sunday en route to a big win for the Lions.

Raiders vs Texans (-7)

27-20 Texans

There’s going to be a lot of emotion in Houston on Sunday with Gary Kubiak returning to the sidelines for the first time since his mini stroke two weeks ago. Case Keenum will continue to show why he could be the future quarterback for the Texans and Terrelle Pryor will continue his terrible play. Texans win by a touchdown.

Cardinals (-7.5) vs Jaguars

24-10 Cardinals

I was surprised the Jaguars got their first win last weekend. I will be shocked if they beat the Cardinals this week. The Cardinals defense has been very strong lately and will continue their great play against a Chad Henne run Jaguars offense. Cardinals bring the Jaguars back down to reality.

Redskins vs Eagles (-3.5)

28-24 Eagles

It’s hard to pick against Nick Foles right now. Foles still hasn’t thrown an interception this year. I think Foles will continue his hot play this week especially being at home and will guide the Eagles to a very important win over RGIII and the Redskins.

Falcons (-1.5) vs Buccaneers

           

17-14 Buccaneers

The Buccaneers aren’t the best team the NFL has to offer, but I think they’re better than the Falcons right now. The wheels have fallen off in Atlanta and I think the Bucs will ride the momentum of their first win last week and figure out a way to get past the Falcons at home.

Chargers (-2.5) vs Dolphins

24-17 Chargers

While both of these teams aren’t in a great place right now, the Dolphins are in a far worse spot than the Chargers. The Dolphins are a complete mess on and off the field and will not be able to put together a good enough performance to get past Philip Rivers and the Chargers. The Dolphins will continue to fall out of the wild card race with this loss.

Packers vs Giants (-5.5)

21-17 Giants

This game would be a lot more interesting if Aaron Rodgers were involved. Unfortunately for the Packers, they won’t have their guy starting under center on Sunday and whether it is Matt Flynn or Scott Tolzein, it won’t be enough. Giants will win their 4^th in a row.

Vikings vs Seahawks (-12.5)

31-13 Seahawks

The Seahawks are too good at home to lose to this Vikings team. The Vikings offense will rely on Adrian Peterson and he will do his thing as he always does but it won’t be enough to get past the Seahawks and their home field advantage. The Seahawks will win easily in Percy Harvin’s first game back this season.

49ers vs Saints (-3.5)

28-20 Saints

There’s no place like dome. The 49ers are going to have a tough time slowing down Drew Brees and the Saints offense. I can’t see Kaepernick keeping up with Drew Brees and especially with this game being at the Superdome.

Chiefs vs Broncos (-7.5)

27-20 Broncos

I had a hard time with this one but in the end I had to go with Peyton Manning over Alex Smith and the fact that the game is in Denver. Even though Kansas City’s defense has been outstanding this year Peyton Manning is my MVP and will show his worth Sunday night. Denver’s D will apply its fair share of pressure on Alex Smith and with Dwayne Bowe more interested in finding the nearest Sonic than making plays so far this year, I think the Broncos will come away with a seven point victory.

Patriots vs Panthers (-1.5)

21-20 Panthers

The Panthers showed last weekend that they are no joke. They got a quality win against a quality team in the 49ers. This matchup against the Pats is going to be even tougher than their win last week but the Panthers stellar defense will be the deciding factor in this narrow victory.